Elder’s Eight – Week 1

In this new weekly post, I will be giving 8 bold predictions for the upcoming fantasy week. Most (probably all) will blow up in my face, yet who doesn’t love being bold?

1. Shaun Hill will outscore Eli Manning

Since he came into the league in 2004, Peyton’s younger brother has the most interceptions in the NFL, highlighted by a career high 27 last season. While it’s reasonable to expect that number to regress to the mean in 2014, I also don’t feel very good about the Giants offense as a whole. Their new west coast system looked down right dreadful in the preseason and I expect more than a few growing pains for Big Blue.

2. Shane Vereen will lead the Patriots in receptions

If he had played all 16 games last season (and continued his pace), Vereen would have had 89 receptions. Crazy stat, but the Pats really do like him and I expect him to be on the field more than any other running back this year. With Gronk most likely limited in his snaps this week and Brent Grimes lined up against Julian Edelman, a running back will lead the Patriots’ prolific offense in catches.

Screen Shot 2014-09-05 at 9.37.07 PM

3. The Panthers won’t score an offensive touchdown

If you heard my HOT/COLD list already then you know I’m down on the Panthers offense. With Newton questionable, a mix-and-match group of receivers, two RBs past their prime, and a patchwork offensive line going up against a stout Tampa Bay defense, they’ll beyond struggle to get yards, much less touchdowns.

4. Levine Toilolo will score more touchdowns than Jimmy Graham

Bold enough yet? Toilolo, for those of you that don’t know, was the beast on the ukelele on this season of HBO’s Hard Knocks. But perhaps more importantly, he is also the man replacing Tony Gonzalez in the Falcons’ offense. Toilolo is 6’8 which makes him a massive redzone target in addition to being the perfect man to find the endzone more than Jimmy Graham.

5. Chris Johnson will fool you into thinking he’s a solid fantasy option

By all means, start CJ2K this week if you have him. Against a porous Raiders’ defense that lost their best run defender (Lamar Houston) and added two mediocre pass rushers (Justin Tuck, Lamar Woodley), Johnson should be quite productive. But it’s a trap, guys. Just trust me on this one. Be ready to sell high.

6. Mike Wallace wont catch more than 3 passes

Revis. Island.

7. Mark Ingram will rush for over 100 yards

Despite burning fantasy owners for three straight seasons, people still keep pinning their hopes on Ingram. I don’t get it, he’s not very fast, elusive, or anything else a running back needs to be successful. Yet for week 1, I’m drinking the Kool-Aid. The reports have been glowing this offseason for Ingram, and against a below average Falcons defense, it wouldn’t shock me if he broke the century mark.

8. Reggie Wayne will finish 4th on his own receiving corps in fantasy points 

Wayne owners, don’t forget that Sunday night will be his first game back since tearing his ACL in the middle of 2013. While he should still be productive this season, don’t expect that to start in his first action since the injury. T.Y. Hilton, Hakeem Nicks, and Coby Fleener will all be more productive this weekend.