The HOT/COLD List, Week 6
Welcome back to another week of my HOT/COLD list. As usual, this list is not a rankings post. By that, I mean that just because Justin Blackmon is HOT and DeSean Jackson is COLD does not mean I suggest starting the Jaguars’ receiver over the Eagles’ speedster. It just means that relative to that players’ expectations, I believe that Blackmon will perform well and Jackson will underwhelm. Both the HOT and COLD sections will be laid out like an actual fantasy football team (QB, 2RB, 2WR, TE, D/ST,) Without further ado….
QB: Andrew Luck – The Chargers defense is awful; their inability to stop Terrelle Pryor last week was the main reason for San Diego’s loss to Oakland. This week, a much more savvy QB will take the field on the opposing team, and he should have just as easy of a time carving up the Chargers defense. This game will be high scoring, and it would not surprise me if Luck puts up more than 20 fantasy points on Monday night.
RB1: Demarco Murray – Murray continues to be a steady option at a position that lacks just that. Aside from a 25 point outburst in week 3, Demarco has hovered around low double digits (per game) for most of the season. I believe that this week against the Redskins (who give up 175 yards to running backs per game) will be more like that week 3 contest for Murray.
RB2: Deangelo Williams – Last week against the Cardinals, Carolina completely went away from the running game and it showed with QB Cam Newton throwing 3 picks. Against a Minnesota team who has had trouble stopping the run all season, I see Williams getting a nice dose of carries with no one else to take them away from him (it’s been nice with no Jonathan Stewart).
WR1: Justin Blackmon – As I explained to reader Steve: “Blackmon has a lot going for him this week. Blaine Gabbert will not play which means the much more competent Chad Henne will be throwing him the ball (definitely a plus). The Jaguars will also be behind for this entire game which means a lot of passes and a lot of chances for Blackmon to get his hands on the ball. I definitely recommend the Jacksonville receiver this week.”
WR2: Reggie Wayne – Just like I said with Andrew Luck: San Diego can’t stop anybody. If Luck is going to have a big game, then I think Wayne will be the one helping him out on the receiving end. The Chargers give up are 28th in the league vs. opposing WR’s in terms of yardage given up.
TE: Jason Witten – In his past 11 home games, Witten has 86 receptions, 885 yards and five TDs. The Cowboys are playing at home this week. In each of the Redskins games this year they have given up a touchdown to a tight end. The Cowboys are playing the Redskins this week. You do the math.
D/ST: Denver Broncos – They are playing the Jaguars this week so that’s all you need to know. However, here’s a fun fact to fill up some space: KR/PR Trindon Holliday has never lost an NFL regular season game before. Let me explain. He was drafted by the Texans in 2010 but was placed on IR before the season began. In 2011 he was on the practice squad all year and never suited for a game. In 2012, Holliday made the active roster for Houston and was their KR/PR for the first 5 games in which they went 5-0. After their 5th win, the Texans cut Holliday, who was immediately picked up by the Broncos for their week six game. Since then, Holliday has been a member of the Broncos and they have yet to lose.
QB: Terrelle Pryor – How does a quarterback go from being on the HOT list, proceeding to have a great game, and then get moved to the COLD list the very next week? Simple, the Chiefs defense is why. That D is no joke, they have playmakers all over the field (Justin Houston, Tamba Hali, Eric Berry) that will force Pryor into poor decisions all game long.
RB1: Chris Johnson – I love this quote from ESPN: “He [Johnson} was finally used properly in the passing game last week, with five targets resulting in four catches for 63 yards and a touchdown.” Okay ESPN, yes those were his stats, but did you see this play? That’s not called “getting involved in the passing game.” It’s more like falling down, standing up, and getting lucky. So contrary to popular (ESPN’s) belief, CJ was not a focal point of the Tennessee passing game last week. Add that into the fact that he has just 38 yards on 25 carries in his past 2 games and you have a player worth sitting in week 6.
RB2: Maurice Jones-Drew – Lost in the mesmerization of the Broncos offense is the fact that their defense is actually number 1 in the league against the run. Combine that with the real possibility that the Jaguars will be down by 28 at halftime and you have a day with a lot of passes and not a lot of rushes (which is why Justin Blackmon is HOT and MJD is COLD).
WR1: Steve Johnson – When your starting quarterback was on the practice squad last week, I don’t care who you are as a receiver, you’re not starting for my fantasy team. In case you wanted to learn more about the one and only Thad Lewis, here’s his Wikipedia page.
WR2: DeSean Jackson – Catching passes from a new quarterback (Nick Foles) in which he will be lined up across from the best corner (Darrelle Revis) all game does not sound like a kind fantasy matchup.
TE: Kyle Rudolph – What if I told you that Kyle Rudolph got you 14 fantasy points? You’d be pretty excited because that production would be somewhat unexpected. But what if I told you Kyle Rudolph has gotten you just 14 fantasy points all season so far? Well, then I’d be telling you the truth.
D/ST: Indianapolis Colts – Philip Rivers is money in the bank when he plays at home, and I think the Colts defense will still be feeling the affects of an extremely physical game last week vs. the Seahawks.