HOT/COLD List, Week 5

Welcome back to another week of my HOT/COLD list. As usual, this list is not a rankings post. By that, I mean that just because Terrelle Pryor is HOT and Colin Kaepernick is COLD does not mean I suggest starting the Raiders’ QB over the Niners’ one. It just means that relative to that players’ expectations, I believe that Pryor will perform well and Kaepernick will underwhelm. Both the HOT and COLD sections will be laid out like an actual fantasy football team (QB, 2RB, 2WR, TE, D/ST,) Without further ado….

 HOT

QB: Terrelle Pryor – The common thread between last week’s HOT QB (Tony Romo) and this week’s? They both face the Chargers and their absolutely awful pass defense. San Diego is 29th in the NFL against the pass and also give up 5.2 yards per carry. That means that not only will Pryor be efficient through the air, but he will also rack up the fantasy points on the ground. With Darren Mcfadden and Marcel Reece out, the former Ohio St. QB will have to have a big game for Oakland to have a chance. I think he will, but the Raiders will ultimately still lose.

Will he turn out to be the player that Jamarcus Russell never was?

Will he turn out to be the player that Jamarcus Russell never was?

RB1: Eddie Lacy – Just like Pryor above, I believe Lacy will have a great game based on his matchup. Did you see Matt Forte run all over Detroit last week? Well the Lions have given up the third most fantasy rushing yards and touchdowns to opposing running backs this season and Lacy gets the next crack at them

RB2: Maurice Jones-Drew – Okay, I know I just wrote about how much he sucks in my “Finer Details column earlier this week, but I think MJD has a shot at his best fantasy game this week… which isn’t saying much. Last week, the Rams defense allowed Frank Gore (another back struggling at the time) to run all over them. I could easily envision that same scenario happening for Jones-Drew in week 5; and with running back options thin, I can think of worse options to start… even though I don’t trust him.

If there's any hope for the Jaguars, this has to be the guy

If there’s any hope for the Jaguars, this has to be the guy

WR1: Hakeem Nicks – Philadelphia’s defense is good at taking away what you do best, and what the Giants do best is throw the ball to Victor Cruz. However, they can’t run the ball which means they will still air it out. But if Cruz is taken away, then who does Eli Manning throw the ball to? Exactly.

WR2: Randall Cobb – The Packers vs. Lions game will be a complete shootout, no doubt about that. I wouldn’t be surprised if each team is above 30 points when the final whistle blows, so Cobb will get his chances today. The Lions defense (namely Ndamakong Suh) has improved greatly, but that shouldn’t stop Rodgers from throwing to his favorite target all day.

TE: Coby Fleener – Ever since the yin to his yang Dwayne Allen went down with a season ending injury in week 2, Fleener has been a much bigger part of the Colts offense. Andrew Luck is going to have a tough time throwing to his receivers on the outside because of the outstanding Seahawks secondary so look for him to check it down often to Fleener.

Sneaky good pickup as well. He's available in many leagues

Sneaky good pickup as well. He’s available in many leagues

D/ST: St Louis Rams – The defenses that have played the Jaguars so far this year have scored 23, 12, 10, and 22 fantasy points in their respective games. The Rams are a lock for double digit points vs. Jacksonville.

COLD

QB: Colin Kaepernick – So when is it time for fantasy owners to start worrying? Colin has really struggled over his past 3 games as he has not thrown for more than 168 yards in any of them and only has 2 total touchdowns as well. The matchup this week doesn’t do him any favors either; Houston gives up an average of just 141 passing yards per game which is by far the best mark in the NFL. Where Kaepernick provides his real value, however, is with his legs, but those numbers have been very inconsistent in 2013. He’s averaging just 35 rushing yards per game and has failed to reach the end-zone with his legs. To answer my question from the first sentence: Not yet, but soon.

RB1: Chris Johnson – The struggle is real, folks. Johnson has failed to post a game of over 100 yards, 10 fantasy points, or even just reach the end-zone this year. However, the worst past of it all may be that he has just the 4th most fantasy points in the NFL among the “Johnson’s”:

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Click on picture to enlarge

RB2: Daryl Richardson – Earlier this week, Richardson tweeted that he won’t be starting vs. the Jaguars. However, regardless of his twitter feed, Daryl has been a complete disappointment so far through the first four weeks of the season. He’s averaging 28.5 rushing yards per game and has just 1 fantasy point in his past 2 weeks combined. Not only should you sit him this week, but I would consider dropping him as well.

WR1: Steve Smith – Playing the Cardinals this week is a really tough matchup. Cornerback Patrick Peterson is really coming in to his own as he had 2 clutch 4th quarter interceptions en-route to the NFC defensive player of the week honors. Smith will struggle to get open today and his only a fantasy starter in deeper leagues.

Great beard, not so great fantasy value

Great beard, not so great fantasy value

WR2: T.Y. Hilton – For someone who was a breakout candidate heading in to 2013, Hilton has struggled mightily. He post one game with 12 fantasy points but has been under 5 for each of his other games. I wouldn’t start him this week either against a vaunted Seattle secondary.

TE: Jermichael Finley – The Packers TE has been dealing with concussion issues for the past few weeks now. Even though he is slated to play, Green Bay would like to ease him into action which isn’t good news for fantasy owners.

As you can see, Finley is clearly dealing with a concussion...

As you can see, Finley is clearly dealing with a concussion…

D/ST: Dallas Cowboys -The past 2 weeks the HOT defense has been playing the Jaguars and the COLD defense has been playing the Broncos. Coincidence? Nope.

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